Should You Refinance Your Mortgage?

August 24, 2020

On March 15, The Federal Reserve dropped the federal funds rate to 0-0.25%, which then sent average mortgage rates to 50-year lows, with an average 30-year mortgage around 3% (Source: FreddieMac.com).


So what does this mean for someone with a mortgage? When does it make sense to refinance?


There are two rules of thumb that I like to start with:

  1. Can you drop your interest rate by 1%-2%?
  2. Can you pay off your closing costs within a year or two? (Average closing costs range from 2% to 4% of the loan.)


For example, let us take a $200,000 30-year mortgage at 5% with a monthly payment of $1,074 (before taxes and insurance). If refinanced at 3%, we have an $843 monthly payment, or $231/month savings. And with closing costs of $4,000 (2% of the loan), it takes 17 months to break even ($4,000/$231). This is compelling. Not only does it drop the payment, but it only takes 17 months to break even on closing costs.


GET THE LATEST UPDATES: Download the free Tennessean app on your mobile device


As a note, while it may technically make sense on paper to refinance even if a break even is not reached within the first year or two, it can be difficult to predict the long term. For example, your job may change next year and you may decide to sell your house. This is why I usually encourage folks to refinance if they can break even in the short term.


There are many other things you may want to consider when refinancing, such as changing from a variable rate to fixed rate, locking in a shorter term, or changing the amount of the loan.


Every situation is different, so consider reaching out to a mortgage broker or financial adviser to see what makes sense for you.


Hunter Yarbrough, CPA, CFP, is an executive vice president and financial adviser with CapWealth. He is passionate about taking a holistic view of personal finance, including investments, taxes, retirement, education, estate planning, and insurance. For more information about Hunter and CapWealth, visit capwealthgroup.com.


Desk with laptop, charts, and long-term care plan document, calculator, coffee mug, and family photo
By Hillary Stalker March 3, 2026
Long-Term Care Planning helps affluent families prepare for extended care and reduce financial disruption when health changes, so plans stay aligned.
Man reviewing bills and receipts at table while using calculator, reflecting retirement healthcare a
By Hillary Stalker February 23, 2026
MarketWatch features CapWealth’s Hillary Stalker on HSAs & retirement healthcare costs, urging savers to maximize HSA funding & build flexible taxable savings.
Bloomberg Daybreak Asia Edition graphic and text highlighting daily business news briefing.
By CapWealth February 18, 2026
CapWealth CIO Tim Pagliara joins Bloomberg Daybreak Asia to discuss how AI is pressuring software pricing, margins, and innovation.
Notebook labeled “Retirement Mistakes” beside calculator, coins, and tax note on a wooden desk in an
By Michael Vaught February 17, 2026
Avoid retirement planning mistakes that can erode after-tax wealth. Learn how affluent families can align spending, taxes, giving, and estate plans.
A jar labeled 'charity' sits on a desk, symbolizing charitable giving and financial planning.
By Michael Vaught February 3, 2026
Charitable giving can reduce taxes, engage your family, and build a lasting legacy when aligned with your financial and estate planning strategy.
Tim Pagliara at Fox Business interview on February 2, 2026
By CapWealth February 2, 2026
On Fox Business, Tim Pagliara, CIO at CapWealth, discussed how a rise in AI spending is shifting investor focus toward free cash flow and capital discipline.
Man at kitchen table working on laptop and papers at night, reflecting saving vs mortgage decisions
By Hillary Stalker January 31, 2026
CapWealth’s Hillary Stalker tells Money why prioritizing saving for retirement can outweigh paying off a mortgage and improve long-term peace of mind.
A couple meets with their financial advisor to review their financial plan after a major life change
By Jennifer Horton January 20, 2026
Life moves fast. A Financial Plan Review ensures your strategy evolves with major life changes like marriage, career shifts, or retirement prep.
Tim Pagliara on BNN Bloomberg Market Outlook
January 15, 2026
Tim Pagliara joins BNN Bloomberg to discuss how recent political pressure on the Federal Reserve and other factors are impacting U.S. equities and economic growth.
Show More

Share Article